• finitebanjo@lemmy.world
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        1 month ago

        The logic that nobody would ever die as long as nobody ever pulls falls through when you realize after 33 cycles you’re risking the entire human population on the whims of a stranger and that irrational actors will always exist.

        It becomes not if but when.

  • dejected_warp_core@lemmy.world
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    1 month ago

    232 is roughly four billion. We’ll need one or two more doublings to get every last person alive on the tracks.

    This introduces a new wrinkle in the experiment: all the switch operators are also tied to the track. Somewhere.

  • Valmond@lemmy.world
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    1 month ago

    Maybe there is nobody tied up after the third split, nobody explicitly stated it continues!

  • VinnyDaCat@lemmy.world
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    1 month ago

    I’d get it done and over with. I would resent myself forever, and accept any punishment for it, but it’s better than waiting to see if someone wants to decide to kill off half the world later on. Would be even easier if I could take the first persons spot on the tracks so there only has to be one messed up person rather than two.

  • krooklochurm@lemmy.ca
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    1 month ago

    The optimal solution to the trolley problem is always the one that makes the least sense because the more chaos injected into any system the less predictable the results will be.

    So I pull it, kill the other person at the second lever, and drag throw the person from the first set of tracks to the place where the train switches tracks. wrench the lever free from the top part and place it on the tracks where the train would switch too.

    Fucked if I know what the outcome is.

  • xxd@discuss.tchncs.de
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    1 month ago

    I think you should pull the lever, even if this ended after the entire human population was on the track and the experiment doesn’t go on infinitely. Hear me out:

    When a person pulls the lever with a chance of 50% and in one case they kill 2 people and in the other case 0, the kind of average outcome is 0.5 * 2 + (1 - 0.5) * 0 = 1. Now let’s consider the last person in the chain of decision-makers. They would have 2^33 people on the tracks, or about the entire human population. To make the expected outcome be exactly one person, they’d have to pull the lever with likelihood x so that x * 2^33 + (1 - x) * 0 = 1 which would lead to x = 1/2^33 or about x≈0.0000000001. So only if the last person directs the train towards the people with less than this tiny chance, the expected outcome is smaller than 1. This chance is incredibly small, and far far smaller than I’d guess the actual percentage is. Think of the percentage of people that are psychopaths, or mass murderers, or maybe even just clumsy. If you evaluate the percentage as someone flipping that switch as anything above 1/2^33, you should therefore flip the switch yourself. You can guarantee that the outcome is ‘only’ one death, whereas the average outcome of just the last person likely exceeds 1 by a huge amount.

    I really wanted to calculate the percentage so that the expected outcome is 1 even if every person in the chain flips the switch with that chance, but wolfram alphas character limit let me down :(

    • LanguageIsCool@lemmy.world
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      1 month ago

      I am not seeing it. Are you saying the last person chooses between killing nobody and killing the entire population? Also, what about the intermediary likelihoods of pulling the lever?

      • Credibly_Human@lemmy.world
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        1 month ago

        They choose between half the whole population and the whole population (very roughly as it aligns alongside exponents of 2)

        • LanguageIsCool@lemmy.world
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          1 month ago

          That’s what the meme is. But the user’s calculation multiplies 1-x by 0, not 1-x by half the population. Or by the future expected value.

    • elephantium@lemmy.world
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      1 month ago

      Reading this analysis, I think it’s all but guaranteed that the person at the switch on the last step is Davros.

  • MTK@lemmy.world
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    1 month ago

    Schrödingers murder: You are both a murder and not a murder. You are not a murderer as you did not choose to kill a person, but as this can not continue forever you are also a murderer since it is quite certain that eventually someone will choose murder.

    • Inucune@lemmy.world
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      1 month ago

      Can you murder through innaction? By not pulling the lever, you haven’t changed the system.

    • Credibly_Human@lemmy.world
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      1 month ago

      Legally speaking, I think the only legally correct (very much not morally) correct thing to do is absolutely nothing whatsoever.

      You might be required to call the authorities, but given that either option in theory may eventually lead to the loss of life I think you’d be most safe legally, if you didn’t touch a damn thing.

    • monk@lemmy.unboiled.info
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      1 month ago

      No, it’s not. log_2 population is what, 33? 32 more people chicken out and we’re either done with this or start killing people who were never born, which is ethically fine.

  • marcos@lemmy.world
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    1 month ago

    With everybody tied up before the 34th track, who exactly is there to push the lever?

    • Limonene@lemmy.world
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      1 month ago

      Yes. But it keeps going forever, and eventually some chaotic-evil person will kill choose to kill 2^43 people, which is a thousand times the world’s population.

  • OldChicoAle@lemmy.world
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    1 month ago

    You try to save them all by tackling the guy on the second track. The train is 400m from the wye in the track but 375m from the point the second person can decide to flip the switch. You are 270m from the second person. The train travels at a steady 15m/s. You start running at an acceleration of 0.5m/s/s. Can you tackle the second person to prevent them from flipping the switch? Assume flipping the switch means killing the poor tied up folks.

    I dunno. I just made up numbers though.